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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.66+1.13vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.56+0.20vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-0.50+0.38vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.48-0.60vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.94-1.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.13University of Washington0.660.4%1st Place
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2.2University of Washington0.560.3%1st Place
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3.38Western Washington University-0.500.1%1st Place
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3.4University of Washington-0.480.1%1st Place
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3.89University of Washington-0.940.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucien Freemesser | 37.8% | 29.4% | 18.4% | 10.6% | 3.8% |
| Adrian Salamon | 34.1% | 30.1% | 21.2% | 11.2% | 3.4% |
| Caroline Hurley | 11.3% | 14.4% | 22.2% | 28.9% | 23.2% |
| Jaden Unruh | 10.1% | 15.6% | 23.8% | 25.2% | 25.3% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 6.7% | 10.5% | 14.4% | 24.1% | 44.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.