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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.56+1.22vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.66+0.09vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-0.48+0.37vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.94-0.10vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.50-1.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.22University of Washington0.560.3%1st Place
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2.09University of Washington0.660.4%1st Place
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3.37University of Washington-0.480.1%1st Place
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3.9University of Washington-0.940.1%1st Place
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3.42Western Washington University-0.500.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Salamon | 34.6% | 29.6% | 19.0% | 12.6% | 4.2% |
| Lucien Freemesser | 37.1% | 31.0% | 19.7% | 9.8% | 2.4% |
| Jaden Unruh | 11.6% | 14.7% | 22.2% | 28.4% | 23.1% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 5.8% | 10.3% | 16.5% | 23.2% | 44.2% |
| Caroline Hurley | 10.9% | 14.4% | 22.6% | 26.0% | 26.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.