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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.08+1.61vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.04+0.67vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-0.57+0.37vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon-0.46-0.74vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria-0.32-1.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.61Western Washington University0.080.3%1st Place
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2.67University of Washington0.040.3%1st Place
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3.37Western Washington University-0.570.1%1st Place
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3.26University of Oregon-0.460.1%1st Place
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3.09University of Victoria-0.320.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Gerber | 27.9% | 24.4% | 19.9% | 14.5% | 13.3% |
| Peter Kelleher | 25.4% | 23.7% | 21.4% | 17.6% | 11.9% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 13.7% | 15.9% | 18.6% | 23.5% | 28.3% |
| Emily Avey | 14.7% | 18.2% | 18.8% | 23.0% | 25.3% |
| Nathan Lemke | 18.3% | 17.8% | 21.3% | 21.4% | 21.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.