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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.08+1.05vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.04+0.16vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria-1.09+0.22vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon-0.46-1.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.05Western Washington University0.080.4%1st Place
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2.16University of Washington0.040.3%1st Place
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3.22University of Victoria-1.090.1%1st Place
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2.57University of Oregon-0.460.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Gerber | 37.1% | 30.8% | 22.2% | 9.9% |
| Peter Kelleher | 31.5% | 32.4% | 24.5% | 11.6% |
| Ethan Lowenthal | 11.4% | 11.8% | 20.2% | 56.6% |
| Emily Avey | 20.0% | 25.0% | 33.1% | 21.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.