← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston2.80+1.26vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston1.17+3.01vs Predicted
-
3North Carolina State University2.01+0.45vs Predicted
-
4Jacksonville University1.61+0.23vs Predicted
-
5University of South Florida1.13+0.10vs Predicted
-
6Florida State University0.60-0.04vs Predicted
-
7University of Miami1.24-2.10vs Predicted
-
8Christopher Newport University1.08-2.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.26College of Charleston2.800.4%1st Place
-
5.01College of Charleston1.170.1%1st Place
-
3.45North Carolina State University2.010.2%1st Place
-
4.23Jacksonville University1.610.1%1st Place
-
5.1University of South Florida1.130.1%1st Place
-
5.96Florida State University0.600.0%1st Place
-
4.9University of Miami1.240.1%1st Place
-
5.09Christopher Newport University1.080.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Geller | 39.0% | 27.8% | 15.3% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Fredrikke Foss | 7.6% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 14.8% | 15.8% | 17.3% | 13.0% |
| Adam Larson | 17.3% | 18.8% | 19.1% | 16.2% | 13.2% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 2.4% |
| Patrick Igoe | 10.7% | 14.1% | 17.0% | 12.6% | 14.7% | 13.9% | 10.6% | 6.4% |
| Jordan Byrd | 6.3% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 19.4% | 14.1% |
| Brady Parks | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 16.8% | 34.8% |
| Zachary Ward | 8.4% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 16.4% | 15.0% | 13.5% |
| Joshua Bendura | 5.8% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 14.4% | 12.6% | 17.7% | 14.7% | 15.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.