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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.80+1.05vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University1.08+2.66vs Predicted
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3Florida State University0.60+2.39vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University2.01-0.88vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University0.94-0.09vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston1.17-1.54vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.13-2.42vs Predicted
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8University of Miami-0.37-1.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.05College of Charleston2.800.4%1st Place
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4.66Christopher Newport University1.080.1%1st Place
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5.39Florida State University0.600.1%1st Place
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3.12North Carolina State University2.010.2%1st Place
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4.91Jacksonville University0.940.1%1st Place
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4.46College of Charleston1.170.1%1st Place
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4.58University of South Florida1.130.1%1st Place
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6.82University of Miami-0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Geller | 44.5% | 27.1% | 15.2% | 8.2% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 7.9% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 16.3% | 16.5% | 18.2% | 12.6% | 7.5% |
| Brady Parks | 5.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 16.1% | 22.6% | 16.5% |
| Adam Larson | 18.0% | 23.2% | 21.2% | 17.3% | 10.9% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Matthew King | 6.0% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 17.8% | 16.5% | 17.9% | 8.4% |
| Fredrikke Foss | 8.2% | 10.1% | 16.7% | 14.8% | 16.1% | 16.0% | 12.5% | 5.6% |
| Jordan Byrd | 8.5% | 10.0% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 18.2% | 15.3% | 13.0% | 7.5% |
| Timothy Hibben | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 10.7% | 17.8% | 54.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.