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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University0.94+3.87vs Predicted
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2Florida State University0.60+3.54vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.80-0.95vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University2.01-0.87vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.27-0.66vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston1.17-1.51vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University1.08-2.27vs Predicted
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8University of Miami-0.37-1.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.87Jacksonville University0.940.1%1st Place
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5.54Florida State University0.600.0%1st Place
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2.05College of Charleston2.800.4%1st Place
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3.13North Carolina State University2.010.2%1st Place
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4.34University of South Florida1.270.1%1st Place
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4.49College of Charleston1.170.1%1st Place
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4.73Christopher Newport University1.080.1%1st Place
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6.84University of Miami-0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew King | 7.1% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 16.7% | 19.5% | 16.2% | 8.3% |
| Brady Parks | 4.6% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 14.1% | 16.8% | 22.8% | 18.1% |
| Brandon Geller | 44.0% | 26.6% | 17.2% | 7.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larson | 19.0% | 23.7% | 18.2% | 17.6% | 11.5% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Andreas Keswater | 7.9% | 12.2% | 16.1% | 16.7% | 16.3% | 14.9% | 11.9% | 4.0% |
| Fredrikke Foss | 8.3% | 9.7% | 14.4% | 18.4% | 15.6% | 14.8% | 12.7% | 6.1% |
| Joshua Bendura | 7.3% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 13.3% | 17.0% | 16.0% | 16.2% | 7.7% |
| Timothy Hibben | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 17.1% | 55.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.