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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University2.01+2.24vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.17+2.71vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.80-0.87vs Predicted
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4University of Miami-0.37+2.97vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.27-0.44vs Predicted
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6Florida State University0.60-0.40vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.61-2.97vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University1.08-3.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.24North Carolina State University2.010.2%1st Place
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4.71College of Charleston1.170.1%1st Place
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2.13College of Charleston2.800.4%1st Place
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6.97University of Miami-0.370.0%1st Place
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4.56University of South Florida1.270.1%1st Place
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5.6Florida State University0.600.0%1st Place
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4.03Jacksonville University1.610.1%1st Place
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4.76Christopher Newport University1.080.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Larson | 17.8% | 23.3% | 18.0% | 17.1% | 11.8% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 0.9% |
| Fredrikke Foss | 8.1% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 15.5% | 15.6% | 19.9% | 14.5% | 6.3% |
| Brandon Geller | 41.2% | 27.6% | 16.8% | 8.4% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Hibben | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 8.0% | 17.5% | 59.0% |
| Andreas Keswater | 7.4% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 13.9% | 17.9% | 18.7% | 13.3% | 4.5% |
| Brady Parks | 4.8% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 11.4% | 13.7% | 14.0% | 26.5% | 17.5% |
| Patrick Igoe | 12.0% | 13.7% | 16.8% | 16.3% | 15.2% | 13.2% | 9.4% | 3.4% |
| Joshua Bendura | 7.4% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 17.0% | 18.2% | 13.9% | 8.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.