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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.80+1.15vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University2.01+1.27vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.61+0.94vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University1.08+0.87vs Predicted
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5Florida State University0.60+0.64vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.27-1.52vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston1.17-2.29vs Predicted
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8University of Miami-0.37-1.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.15College of Charleston2.800.4%1st Place
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3.27North Carolina State University2.010.2%1st Place
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3.94Jacksonville University1.610.1%1st Place
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4.87Christopher Newport University1.080.1%1st Place
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5.64Florida State University0.600.0%1st Place
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4.48University of South Florida1.270.1%1st Place
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4.71College of Charleston1.170.1%1st Place
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6.93University of Miami-0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Geller | 41.2% | 26.7% | 17.3% | 8.9% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larson | 17.3% | 21.1% | 20.3% | 16.9% | 12.0% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Patrick Igoe | 12.2% | 14.0% | 16.5% | 18.3% | 15.7% | 13.0% | 7.7% | 2.6% |
| Joshua Bendura | 6.5% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 18.0% | 15.9% | 16.3% | 9.4% |
| Brady Parks | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 18.7% | 24.0% | 18.1% |
| Andreas Keswater | 9.0% | 10.3% | 14.5% | 14.2% | 17.2% | 16.0% | 13.9% | 4.9% |
| Fredrikke Foss | 8.0% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 14.9% | 15.6% | 18.8% | 15.1% | 7.0% |
| Timothy Hibben | 1.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 18.7% | 57.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.