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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.80+1.03vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.13+2.57vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.17+1.49vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University2.01-0.89vs Predicted
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5Florida State University0.60+0.45vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University0.94-1.14vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University1.08-2.34vs Predicted
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8University of Miami-0.37-1.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.03College of Charleston2.800.4%1st Place
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4.57University of South Florida1.130.1%1st Place
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4.49College of Charleston1.170.1%1st Place
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3.11North Carolina State University2.010.2%1st Place
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5.45Florida State University0.600.0%1st Place
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4.86Jacksonville University0.940.1%1st Place
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4.66Christopher Newport University1.080.1%1st Place
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6.83University of Miami-0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Geller | 44.6% | 27.5% | 15.3% | 7.9% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Byrd | 8.0% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 16.6% | 18.1% | 15.0% | 12.1% | 7.5% |
| Fredrikke Foss | 8.4% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 13.9% | 16.6% | 17.1% | 13.1% | 5.4% |
| Adam Larson | 18.4% | 23.3% | 20.2% | 17.1% | 11.8% | 6.4% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Brady Parks | 4.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 18.3% | 22.0% | 15.8% |
| Matthew King | 6.8% | 7.2% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 16.7% | 15.5% | 17.8% | 8.5% |
| Joshua Bendura | 8.1% | 9.0% | 13.7% | 15.5% | 14.8% | 17.3% | 13.9% | 7.7% |
| Timothy Hibben | 1.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 9.6% | 17.8% | 54.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.