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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University2.01+2.42vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.61+2.21vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.80-0.74vs Predicted
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4Florida State University0.60+2.01vs Predicted
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5University of Miami1.24-0.07vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.13-0.93vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University1.08-1.79vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston1.17-3.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.42North Carolina State University2.010.2%1st Place
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4.21Jacksonville University1.610.1%1st Place
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2.26College of Charleston2.800.4%1st Place
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6.01Florida State University0.600.0%1st Place
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4.93University of Miami1.240.1%1st Place
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5.07University of South Florida1.130.1%1st Place
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5.21Christopher Newport University1.080.1%1st Place
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4.9College of Charleston1.170.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Larson | 17.0% | 22.0% | 16.6% | 17.0% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 5.0% | 2.3% |
| Patrick Igoe | 11.1% | 12.3% | 17.1% | 14.6% | 15.7% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 5.3% |
| Brandon Geller | 39.3% | 25.8% | 17.1% | 9.9% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Brady Parks | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 18.5% | 34.2% |
| Zachary Ward | 6.6% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 16.8% | 16.8% | 11.6% |
| Jordan Byrd | 7.4% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 14.9% | 16.3% | 14.4% | 16.2% |
| Joshua Bendura | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 14.3% | 13.7% | 19.1% | 17.3% |
| Fredrikke Foss | 7.5% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 15.4% | 16.1% | 14.6% | 12.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.