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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.80+1.26vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.13+3.07vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University2.01+0.46vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.61+0.22vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston1.17+0.03vs Predicted
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6Florida State University0.60-0.04vs Predicted
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7University of Miami1.24-2.09vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University1.08-2.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.26College of Charleston2.800.4%1st Place
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5.07University of South Florida1.130.1%1st Place
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3.46North Carolina State University2.010.2%1st Place
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4.22Jacksonville University1.610.1%1st Place
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5.03College of Charleston1.170.1%1st Place
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5.96Florida State University0.600.0%1st Place
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4.91University of Miami1.240.1%1st Place
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5.08Christopher Newport University1.080.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Geller | 38.9% | 27.7% | 15.4% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Jordan Byrd | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 14.6% | 16.3% | 17.5% | 13.9% |
| Adam Larson | 17.3% | 18.6% | 19.4% | 16.1% | 13.3% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 2.5% |
| Patrick Igoe | 10.7% | 14.3% | 16.5% | 13.2% | 14.5% | 13.8% | 10.7% | 6.3% |
| Fredrikke Foss | 6.4% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 14.2% | 14.0% | 19.5% | 12.9% |
| Brady Parks | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 16.5% | 35.1% |
| Zachary Ward | 8.4% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 16.1% | 15.4% | 13.4% |
| Joshua Bendura | 5.8% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 14.4% | 12.6% | 18.0% | 14.3% | 15.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.