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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.80+1.16vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University2.01+1.34vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.17+1.85vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.94+1.28vs Predicted
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5Florida State University0.60+0.85vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.13-1.13vs Predicted
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7University of Miami1.24-2.26vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University1.08-3.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.16College of Charleston2.800.4%1st Place
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3.34North Carolina State University2.010.2%1st Place
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4.85College of Charleston1.170.1%1st Place
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5.28Jacksonville University0.940.1%1st Place
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5.85Florida State University0.600.0%1st Place
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4.87University of South Florida1.130.1%1st Place
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4.74University of Miami1.240.1%1st Place
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4.9Christopher Newport University1.080.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Geller | 41.5% | 27.3% | 15.2% | 9.4% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Adam Larson | 17.9% | 19.9% | 20.9% | 14.4% | 13.0% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 1.2% |
| Fredrikke Foss | 7.6% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 16.1% | 15.6% | 12.3% |
| Matthew King | 5.9% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 13.8% | 15.4% | 16.2% | 19.5% |
| Brady Parks | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 15.1% | 19.1% | 29.3% |
| Jordan Byrd | 7.7% | 8.0% | 12.9% | 14.6% | 14.9% | 14.4% | 14.5% | 13.0% |
| Zachary Ward | 8.9% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 14.3% | 12.7% | 16.4% | 15.0% | 10.7% |
| Joshua Bendura | 6.4% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 18.5% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 13.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.