← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston2.80+1.18vs Predicted
-
2University of South Florida1.13+2.91vs Predicted
-
3Jacksonville University0.94+2.24vs Predicted
-
4College of Charleston1.17+0.87vs Predicted
-
5North Carolina State University2.01-1.66vs Predicted
-
6University of Miami1.24-1.32vs Predicted
-
7Florida State University0.60-1.12vs Predicted
-
8Christopher Newport University1.08-3.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.18College of Charleston2.800.4%1st Place
-
4.91University of South Florida1.130.1%1st Place
-
5.24Jacksonville University0.940.1%1st Place
-
4.87College of Charleston1.170.1%1st Place
-
3.34North Carolina State University2.010.2%1st Place
-
4.68University of Miami1.240.1%1st Place
-
5.88Florida State University0.600.0%1st Place
-
4.91Christopher Newport University1.080.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Geller | 41.6% | 26.8% | 16.1% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Jordan Byrd | 8.1% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 15.4% | 16.1% | 15.2% | 12.3% |
| Matthew King | 5.9% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 15.6% | 18.7% | 16.9% |
| Fredrikke Foss | 7.7% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 14.3% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 17.0% | 11.8% |
| Adam Larson | 17.4% | 21.8% | 19.1% | 14.4% | 12.9% | 8.6% | 4.4% | 1.4% |
| Zachary Ward | 8.6% | 9.0% | 15.0% | 14.3% | 15.5% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 12.2% |
| Brady Parks | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 14.2% | 16.8% | 32.5% |
| Joshua Bendura | 5.9% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 14.2% | 14.0% | 16.1% | 14.9% | 12.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.