Race 3B

chenard-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Noah Jost 26.9% 27.4% 17.0% 13.8% 7.8% 4.5% 1.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Max Braun 4.8% 4.2% 6.2% 9.3% 12.5% 13.1% 18.5% 16.2% 13.1% 2.1%
Trevin Brown 8.2% 8.9% 13.7% 13.7% 15.3% 16.4% 11.8% 8.4% 3.2% 0.4%
Ashton Loring 34.8% 29.4% 17.8% 10.8% 4.8% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Kaitlyn Bagnoni 8.9% 9.4% 13.0% 15.8% 16.2% 14.3% 11.4% 7.1% 3.6% 0.3%
Davis Smith 4.6% 4.1% 6.5% 8.5% 9.2% 13.2% 15.8% 18.4% 16.7% 3.0%
Lauren Mellinger 7.3% 10.5% 15.6% 16.3% 16.8% 14.5% 10.1% 6.0% 2.3% 0.6%
Nelson Chow 2.5% 2.8% 5.2% 5.8% 8.7% 12.0% 13.9% 19.8% 24.7% 4.6%
Matthew Blessington 1.8% 2.8% 4.5% 5.7% 7.7% 9.0% 13.6% 19.3% 29.1% 6.5%
Brigitte Lueder 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 1.0% 1.4% 2.5% 3.9% 7.2% 82.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.