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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.18+7.87vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.28+6.20vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute1.43+4.39vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.71+3.33vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.59+1.97vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.14+2.11vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.99+2.49vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.68-1.14vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.40-0.47vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.07-0.91vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.09-1.97vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99-2.26vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.87-3.80vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College0.41-2.12vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College-0.13-1.15vs Predicted
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16Fordham University0.69-5.60vs Predicted
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17Florida State University0.50-5.95vs Predicted
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18Princeton University-0.47-2.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.87Cornell University1.185.3%1st Place
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8.2University of Pennsylvania1.286.3%1st Place
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7.39Webb Institute1.439.3%1st Place
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7.33Northeastern University1.718.8%1st Place
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6.97Tufts University1.599.6%1st Place
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8.11Boston University1.147.2%1st Place
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9.49Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.994.7%1st Place
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6.86St. Mary's College of Maryland1.688.9%1st Place
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8.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.405.8%1st Place
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9.09George Washington University1.074.7%1st Place
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9.03Connecticut College1.095.9%1st Place
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9.74U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.995.2%1st Place
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9.2University of Vermont0.875.2%1st Place
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11.88SUNY Maritime College0.412.3%1st Place
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13.85Connecticut College-0.131.5%1st Place
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10.4Fordham University0.694.5%1st Place
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11.05Florida State University0.503.8%1st Place
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15.03Princeton University-0.471.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pilar Cundey | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| John Majernik | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Payne Donaldson | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Will Priebe | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Gus Macaulay | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Tiare Sierra | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Thomas Walker | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 2.0% |
| Nathan Jensen | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| Duncan Craine | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 1.6% |
| Reed McAllister | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 1.9% |
| Christian Cushman | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.4% |
| Ben Hosford | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 9.7% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 17.9% | 24.4% |
| James Owen | 4.5% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 4.1% |
| Brady Parks | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 5.9% |
| Nicholas Lorenzen | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 16.4% | 41.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.