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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.47+6.18vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.54+4.84vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.42+4.58vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+5.35vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.83+5.00vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.62+5.22vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.79+3.65vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.10+0.67vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+1.32vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.53+1.53vs Predicted
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11Tulane University2.50+0.76vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-0.98vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island3.23-4.37vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.99-4.67vs Predicted
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15Yale University2.75-4.51vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64-5.07vs Predicted
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17University of Miami2.66-6.28vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College0.70-0.09vs Predicted
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19Roger Williams University2.30-6.55vs Predicted
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20Northeastern University2.12-6.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.18Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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6.84Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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7.58Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.35St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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10.0University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
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11.22Tufts University2.620.0%1st Place
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10.65Stanford University2.790.0%1st Place
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8.67College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
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10.32U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.0%1st Place
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11.53Boston College2.530.0%1st Place
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11.76Tulane University2.500.0%1st Place
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11.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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8.63University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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9.33U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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10.49Yale University2.750.0%1st Place
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10.93Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.0%1st Place
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10.72University of Miami2.660.0%1st Place
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17.91Connecticut College0.700.0%1st Place
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12.45Roger Williams University2.300.0%1st Place
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13.42Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bragg | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.4% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Owen Hennessey | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Jordan Bruce | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Trevor Davis | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 2.8% |
| Reade Decker | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 1.3% |
| Noah Zittrer | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Colman Schofield | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 0.9% |
| Michael Kirkman | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 2.8% |
| Thad Lettsome | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 3.3% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 2.5% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Nathan Smith | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Carmen Cowles | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.0% |
| Will Murray | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 2.5% |
| Atlee Kohl | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 2.2% |
| Andrew Powers | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 5.4% | 11.8% | 61.5% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 5.7% |
| Will Priebe | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 8.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.