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📊 Prediction Accuracy
10.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.54+5.88vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.47+5.17vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.30+9.68vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.10+4.85vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.83+5.01vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.50+5.81vs Predicted
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7University of Miami2.66+4.26vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.53+3.27vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.79+1.22vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.42-2.59vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-0.09vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.99-2.45vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island3.23-4.35vs Predicted
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14Yale University2.75-3.54vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-5.52vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-5.54vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.62-6.06vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.79-3.15vs Predicted
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19Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64-8.03vs Predicted
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20Connecticut College1.43-3.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.88Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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7.17Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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12.68Roger Williams University2.300.0%1st Place
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8.85College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
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10.01University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
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11.81Tulane University2.500.0%1st Place
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11.26University of Miami2.660.0%1st Place
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11.27Boston College2.530.0%1st Place
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10.22Stanford University2.790.0%1st Place
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7.41Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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10.91Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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9.55U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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8.65University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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10.46Yale University2.750.0%1st Place
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9.48St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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10.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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10.94Tufts University2.620.0%1st Place
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14.85Northeastern University1.790.0%1st Place
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10.97Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.0%1st Place
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16.17Connecticut College1.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachlain McGranahan | 9.7% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Robert Bragg | 10.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 3.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.0% |
| Noah Zittrer | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Jordan Bruce | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Thad Lettsome | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.6% |
| Atlee Kohl | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 3.2% |
| Michael Kirkman | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% |
| Reade Decker | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| Connor Nelson | 7.5% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 2.2% |
| Nathan Smith | 6.3% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Carmen Cowles | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 2.1% |
| Owen Hennessey | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Colman Schofield | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% |
| Trevor Davis | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 3.6% |
| Everett Nash | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 13.3% | 21.4% |
| Will Murray | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 2.9% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 13.0% | 36.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.