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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.54+5.87vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+8.36vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.79+7.39vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.75+6.48vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.53+6.47vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+3.44vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+4.12vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.83+1.92vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.42-1.72vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.23-1.74vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.47-3.71vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64-0.79vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.12+0.63vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.62-2.98vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.30-2.53vs Predicted
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16Tulane University2.42-4.06vs Predicted
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17University of Miami2.66-6.32vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College0.70-0.09vs Predicted
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19U. S. Naval Academy2.99-9.68vs Predicted
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20College of Charleston3.10-11.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.87Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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10.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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10.39Stanford University2.790.0%1st Place
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10.48Yale University2.750.0%1st Place
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11.47Boston College2.530.0%1st Place
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9.44St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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11.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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9.92University of Pennsylvania2.830.0%1st Place
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7.28Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.26University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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7.29Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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11.21Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.0%1st Place
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13.63Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
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11.02Tufts University2.620.0%1st Place
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12.47Roger Williams University2.300.0%1st Place
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11.94Tulane University2.420.0%1st Place
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10.68University of Miami2.660.0%1st Place
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17.91Connecticut College0.700.0%1st Place
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9.32U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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8.97College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachlain McGranahan | 11.0% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Colman Schofield | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 1.7% |
| Reade Decker | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| Carmen Cowles | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| Michael Kirkman | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 2.6% |
| Owen Hennessey | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Sam Bruce | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 1.9% |
| Jordan Bruce | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.3% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 7.4% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Robert Bragg | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Will Murray | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 2.8% |
| Will Priebe | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 15.2% | 8.6% |
| Trevor Davis | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 2.5% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 3.1% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 6.3% |
| Zander King | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 3.7% |
| Atlee Kohl | 4.3% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 2.2% |
| Andrew Powers | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 10.3% | 60.5% |
| Nathan Smith | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Noah Zittrer | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.