← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Roger Williams University4.78+4.51vs Predicted
-
2University of South Florida4.17+5.60vs Predicted
-
3Yale University4.19+4.54vs Predicted
-
4Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.45+2.36vs Predicted
-
5St. Mary's College of Maryland4.83+0.17vs Predicted
-
6SUNY Maritime College4.15+1.45vs Predicted
-
7Boston College4.89-1.95vs Predicted
-
8University of Oregon1.97+6.57vs Predicted
-
9University of Miami3.99-1.00vs Predicted
-
10University of Wisconsin4.10-2.15vs Predicted
-
11Northwestern University2.37+2.65vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Santa Barbara3.26-0.97vs Predicted
-
13Washington College3.65-3.85vs Predicted
-
14University of Southern California3.16-3.17vs Predicted
-
15Eckerd College3.70-5.90vs Predicted
-
16University of Texas2.50-2.66vs Predicted
-
17University of Rhode Island2.93-5.02vs Predicted
-
18Marquette University0.69-1.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.51Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
-
7.6University of South Florida4.170.0%1st Place
-
7.54Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
-
6.36Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.450.1%1st Place
-
5.17St. Mary's College of Maryland4.830.1%1st Place
-
7.45SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
-
5.05Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
-
14.57University of Oregon1.970.0%1st Place
-
8.0University of Miami3.990.1%1st Place
-
7.85University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
-
13.65Northwestern University2.370.0%1st Place
-
11.03University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.0%1st Place
-
9.15Washington College3.650.0%1st Place
-
10.83University of Southern California3.160.0%1st Place
-
9.1Eckerd College3.700.0%1st Place
-
13.34University of Texas2.500.0%1st Place
-
11.98University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
-
16.81Marquette University0.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cy Thompson | 11.0% | 13.7% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Marks | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Morris | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| David Thompson | 9.4% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Menninger | 14.3% | 14.0% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shawn Murray | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Sinks | 14.1% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Balter | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 10.1% | 15.2% | 28.2% | 15.1% |
| Nicholas Voss | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Cornew | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 12.6% | 19.0% | 18.4% | 7.6% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 5.2% | 1.0% |
| Michael Whitford | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Stephen Lue | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 1.1% |
| Hidde Van Der Molen | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Scott Proctor | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 17.2% | 16.0% | 5.9% |
| James Simmons | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 13.8% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 1.8% |
| Patrick Farrell | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 6.5% | 13.0% | 66.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.