← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island2.07+11.43vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University3.53+4.17vs Predicted
-
3Yale University2.77+6.51vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University3.10+3.87vs Predicted
-
5College of Charleston2.35+6.25vs Predicted
-
6University of Pennsylvania2.05+6.77vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Naval Academy2.55+3.72vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+1.91vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36+2.12vs Predicted
-
10Dartmouth College2.82-0.96vs Predicted
-
11Tulane University2.94-2.29vs Predicted
-
12University of Miami2.27-0.15vs Predicted
-
13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.03+0.05vs Predicted
-
14Northeastern University1.37+1.36vs Predicted
-
15Connecticut College1.37+0.23vs Predicted
-
16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-4.99vs Predicted
-
17Harvard University3.64-11.37vs Predicted
-
18Brown University3.33-11.01vs Predicted
-
19Boston College3.07-11.06vs Predicted
-
20Tufts University1.90-6.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
12.43University of Rhode Island2.070.0%1st Place
-
6.17Stanford University3.530.1%1st Place
-
9.51Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
-
7.87Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
-
11.25College of Charleston2.350.0%1st Place
-
12.77University of Pennsylvania2.050.0%1st Place
-
10.72U. S. Naval Academy2.550.0%1st Place
-
9.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
-
11.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.0%1st Place
-
9.04Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
-
8.71Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
-
11.85University of Miami2.270.0%1st Place
-
13.05St. Mary's College of Maryland2.030.0%1st Place
-
15.36Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
-
15.23Connecticut College1.370.0%1st Place
-
11.01Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.0%1st Place
-
5.63Harvard University3.640.1%1st Place
-
6.99Brown University3.330.1%1st Place
-
7.94Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
-
13.45Tufts University1.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Williams | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 6.5% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 11.5% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Carlos de Castro | 8.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 2.0% |
| Benjamin Honig | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 6.9% |
| Jack Welburn | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Daniel Unangst | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Robert Ulmer | 2.9% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 1.8% |
| William Michels | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Aidan Dennis | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.5% |
| Felix Cutler | 2.9% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.4% |
| Joshua Dillon | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 14.8% | 25.6% |
| Matias Martin | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 25.8% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.7% |
| Justin Callahan | 13.6% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Guthrie Braun | 8.5% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Shea Smith | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 9.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.