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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland4.83+4.39vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University4.78+3.42vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College3.70+6.38vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College4.15+3.36vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.19+2.31vs Predicted
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6Boston College4.89-0.98vs Predicted
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7University of Miami3.99+1.09vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California3.16+3.00vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.93+2.86vs Predicted
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10Washington College3.65-0.46vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.45-4.46vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida4.17-4.30vs Predicted
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13University of Oregon1.97+1.52vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara3.26-3.57vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin4.10-7.39vs Predicted
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16University of Texas2.50-2.71vs Predicted
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17Northwestern University2.37-3.29vs Predicted
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18Marquette University0.69-1.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.39St. Mary's College of Maryland4.830.1%1st Place
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5.42Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
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9.38Eckerd College3.700.0%1st Place
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7.36SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
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7.31Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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5.02Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
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8.09University of Miami3.990.1%1st Place
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11.0University of Southern California3.160.0%1st Place
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11.86University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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9.54Washington College3.650.0%1st Place
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6.54Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.450.1%1st Place
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7.7University of South Florida4.170.1%1st Place
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14.52University of Oregon1.970.0%1st Place
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10.43University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.0%1st Place
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7.61University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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13.29University of Texas2.500.0%1st Place
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13.71Northwestern University2.370.0%1st Place
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16.84Marquette University0.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Menninger | 12.5% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cy Thompson | 10.0% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hidde Van Der Molen | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Shawn Murray | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Morris | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Sinks | 13.0% | 14.6% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Voss | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Stephen Lue | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 4.6% | 1.4% |
| James Simmons | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 14.5% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 1.7% |
| Michael Whitford | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| David Thompson | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Marks | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Balter | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 16.8% | 27.2% | 14.1% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 0.8% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Scott Proctor | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 14.1% | 17.2% | 16.3% | 5.7% |
| Michael Cornew | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 17.2% | 19.9% | 7.5% |
| Patrick Farrell | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 13.2% | 68.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.