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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.33+5.52vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.07+10.17vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.05+9.36vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.64+1.41vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+4.66vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.10+1.61vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.82+2.03vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.35+2.65vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.55+0.87vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.55-0.06vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.07-3.25vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36-0.94vs Predicted
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13Yale University2.77-3.64vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.37+1.03vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College1.18+0.63vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.90-3.07vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.03-4.77vs Predicted
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18Tulane University2.45-7.46vs Predicted
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19Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-8.27vs Predicted
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20University of Miami2.27-8.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.52Brown University3.330.1%1st Place
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12.17University of Rhode Island2.070.0%1st Place
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12.36University of Pennsylvania2.050.0%1st Place
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5.41Harvard University3.640.1%1st Place
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9.66U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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7.61Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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9.03Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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10.65College of Charleston2.350.0%1st Place
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9.87Stanford University2.550.0%1st Place
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9.94U. S. Naval Academy2.550.0%1st Place
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7.75Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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11.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.0%1st Place
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9.36Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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15.03Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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15.63Connecticut College1.180.0%1st Place
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12.93Tufts University1.900.0%1st Place
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12.23St. Mary's College of Maryland2.030.0%1st Place
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10.54Tulane University2.450.0%1st Place
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10.73Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.0%1st Place
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11.49University of Miami2.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guthrie Braun | 9.7% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Miles Williams | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% |
| Benjamin Honig | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 6.3% |
| Justin Callahan | 14.6% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Unangst | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Carlos de Castro | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| William Michels | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.2% |
| Lucas Woodworth | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.3% |
| Jack Welburn | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 9.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Robert Ulmer | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.5% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Joshua Dillon | 0.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 14.7% | 22.1% |
| Wade Anthony | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 13.8% | 31.9% |
| Shea Smith | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 8.5% |
| Felix Cutler | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% |
| Kelly Holthus | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 1.6% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.1% |
| Aidan Dennis | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.