Race 1A

erau-greg-popp

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Heidi Hicks 18.9% 19.4% 17.8% 13.7% 11.5% 9.6% 6.1% 2.3% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hank Seum 35.9% 24.8% 17.7% 11.1% 6.4% 2.9% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Carter Morin 11.9% 15.9% 12.7% 15.7% 17.1% 11.8% 9.6% 4.0% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Hank Seum 35.9% 24.8% 17.7% 11.1% 6.4% 2.9% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Zechariah Frantz 3.7% 6.5% 7.9% 11.7% 11.0% 14.6% 17.9% 16.6% 8.1% 2.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jackson McGeough 10.9% 11.9% 15.0% 14.3% 14.7% 14.1% 10.6% 6.1% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
KA Hamner 9.4% 8.9% 11.0% 12.0% 15.0% 13.8% 14.9% 11.0% 3.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Charlie Eckert 4.9% 8.4% 9.8% 13.0% 12.0% 15.6% 15.8% 13.3% 6.2% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Timothy Dolan 1.4% 1.5% 2.6% 3.3% 5.1% 5.9% 8.6% 16.8% 40.2% 14.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Zechariah Frantz 3.7% 6.5% 7.9% 11.7% 11.0% 14.6% 17.9% 16.6% 8.1% 2.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ayden Feria 2.8% 2.1% 5.1% 4.8% 6.4% 9.7% 14.3% 24.4% 25.1% 5.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Riley Elkins 0.2% 0.6% 0.4% 0.4% 0.8% 2.0% 1.4% 5.1% 12.6% 76.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.