Race 4A

erau-greg-popp

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Carter Morin 14.4% 15.0% 15.4% 15.4% 12.4% 11.5% 9.8% 4.9% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Heidi Hicks 16.8% 19.8% 16.6% 15.5% 13.5% 9.2% 5.0% 3.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Hank Seum 35.9% 24.3% 17.6% 11.8% 6.8% 2.1% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Zechariah Frantz 4.6% 6.1% 7.0% 11.0% 11.8% 15.5% 17.2% 16.6% 8.1% 2.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Hank Seum 35.9% 24.3% 17.6% 11.8% 6.8% 2.1% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
KA Hamner 8.1% 9.4% 10.8% 12.4% 15.7% 14.4% 13.9% 10.9% 3.6% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Charlie Eckert 7.7% 7.2% 9.5% 11.0% 14.1% 14.5% 14.7% 14.9% 6.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Jackson McGeough 8.3% 13.5% 15.3% 14.3% 14.4% 15.3% 10.9% 6.0% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Zechariah Frantz 4.6% 6.1% 7.0% 11.0% 11.8% 15.5% 17.2% 16.6% 8.1% 2.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Timothy Dolan 1.1% 1.7% 2.8% 3.4% 4.8% 5.1% 10.3% 15.6% 40.8% 14.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Ayden Feria 2.7% 2.8% 4.4% 4.7% 5.6% 10.6% 14.7% 23.9% 25.1% 5.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Riley Elkins 0.4% 0.2% 0.6% 0.5% 0.9% 1.8% 2.1% 4.0% 13.1% 76.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.