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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College1.25+1.00vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida0.55+0.92vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.53-0.18vs Predicted
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4University of Florida-0.82+0.67vs Predicted
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5Embry-Riddle University-0.96-0.11vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University0.53-3.18vs Predicted
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7Embry-Riddle University-0.96-2.11vs Predicted
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8Rollins College-1.92-1.61vs Predicted
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9Rollins College-1.49-3.21vs Predicted
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10Embry-Riddle University-3.44-1.80vs Predicted
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11University of Central Florida-2.64-3.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.0Eckerd College1.250.4%1st Place
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2.92University of South Florida0.550.2%1st Place
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2.82Jacksonville University0.530.2%1st Place
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4.67University of Florida-0.820.1%1st Place
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4.89Embry-Riddle University-0.960.0%1st Place
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2.82Jacksonville University0.530.2%1st Place
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4.89Embry-Riddle University-0.960.0%1st Place
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6.39Rollins College-1.920.0%1st Place
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5.79Rollins College-1.490.0%1st Place
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8.2Embry-Riddle University-3.440.0%1st Place
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7.32University of Central Florida-2.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Smith | 43.2% | 28.8% | 17.2% | 7.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Justin | 17.6% | 26.2% | 24.8% | 16.4% | 9.4% | 4.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Knowles | 22.4% | 22.7% | 23.8% | 17.4% | 9.9% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julien Waite | 5.8% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 20.1% | 21.4% | 19.6% | 11.8% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tanner Cummings | 4.8% | 7.1% | 11.4% | 17.5% | 19.7% | 19.1% | 12.1% | 7.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Knowles | 22.4% | 22.7% | 23.8% | 17.4% | 9.9% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tanner Cummings | 4.8% | 7.1% | 11.4% | 17.5% | 19.7% | 19.1% | 12.1% | 7.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nora VanDerMeid | 1.7% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 11.3% | 17.6% | 26.5% | 21.7% | 7.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harriss Thorne | 2.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 9.8% | 16.6% | 23.4% | 22.8% | 13.1% | 3.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Babey | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 18.9% | 63.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Mrazek | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 18.1% | 36.2% | 24.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.