Race 2B

erau-greg-popp

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Joshua Knowles 21.2% 24.1% 23.8% 17.2% 8.7% 4.2% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Morgan Smith 39.8% 29.2% 18.5% 8.4% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Joshua Knowles 21.2% 24.1% 23.8% 17.2% 8.7% 4.2% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Luke Justin 22.1% 23.6% 25.8% 14.9% 9.8% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tanner Cummings 5.1% 7.5% 9.3% 18.3% 20.5% 19.8% 14.8% 3.8% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Harriss Thorne 2.6% 4.6% 5.8% 12.4% 15.6% 22.1% 18.6% 14.3% 4.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Julien Waite 5.6% 6.8% 10.1% 19.1% 21.9% 20.4% 12.0% 3.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Tanner Cummings 5.1% 7.5% 9.3% 18.3% 20.5% 19.8% 14.8% 3.8% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Nora VanDerMeid 2.1% 2.2% 3.8% 4.9% 11.4% 16.5% 28.8% 22.1% 8.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Joseph Mrazek 1.2% 1.2% 2.0% 3.3% 6.3% 8.6% 17.0% 36.0% 24.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Brandon Babey 0.3% 0.8% 0.9% 1.5% 2.5% 4.6% 7.3% 20.1% 62.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.