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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida0.55+1.80vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University0.53+0.92vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.53-0.08vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.25-2.01vs Predicted
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5Embry-Riddle University-0.96-0.11vs Predicted
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6Rollins College-1.92+0.33vs Predicted
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7Rollins College-1.49-1.21vs Predicted
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8Embry-Riddle University-0.96-3.11vs Predicted
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9University of Florida-0.82-4.24vs Predicted
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10Embry-Riddle University-3.44-1.81vs Predicted
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11University of Central Florida-2.64-3.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.8University of South Florida0.550.2%1st Place
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2.92Jacksonville University0.530.2%1st Place
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2.92Jacksonville University0.530.2%1st Place
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1.99Eckerd College1.250.4%1st Place
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4.89Embry-Riddle University-0.960.0%1st Place
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6.33Rollins College-1.920.0%1st Place
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5.79Rollins College-1.490.0%1st Place
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4.89Embry-Riddle University-0.960.0%1st Place
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4.76University of Florida-0.820.1%1st Place
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8.19Embry-Riddle University-3.440.0%1st Place
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7.33University of Central Florida-2.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Justin | 21.6% | 23.9% | 25.4% | 16.1% | 8.8% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Knowles | 17.8% | 25.7% | 24.7% | 18.5% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Knowles | 17.8% | 25.7% | 24.7% | 18.5% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Smith | 43.7% | 28.8% | 16.6% | 7.4% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tanner Cummings | 4.8% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 16.1% | 21.4% | 20.7% | 13.8% | 5.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nora VanDerMeid | 1.5% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 13.2% | 17.3% | 22.8% | 22.1% | 8.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harriss Thorne | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 10.4% | 15.5% | 20.7% | 25.2% | 12.7% | 3.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tanner Cummings | 4.8% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 16.1% | 21.4% | 20.7% | 13.8% | 5.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julien Waite | 5.7% | 6.4% | 9.9% | 19.5% | 23.0% | 18.9% | 12.3% | 3.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Babey | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 19.2% | 62.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Mrazek | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 9.3% | 16.8% | 37.1% | 23.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.