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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College1.25+1.00vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida0.55+0.92vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.53-0.19vs Predicted
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4Embry-Riddle University-0.96+0.90vs Predicted
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5Rollins College-1.49+0.70vs Predicted
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6Embry-Riddle University-0.96-1.10vs Predicted
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7Rollins College-1.92-0.59vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University0.53-5.19vs Predicted
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9University of Florida-0.82-4.25vs Predicted
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10Embry-Riddle University-3.44-1.80vs Predicted
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11University of Central Florida-2.64-3.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.0Eckerd College1.250.4%1st Place
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2.92University of South Florida0.550.2%1st Place
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2.81Jacksonville University0.530.2%1st Place
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4.9Embry-Riddle University-0.960.1%1st Place
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5.7Rollins College-1.490.0%1st Place
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4.9Embry-Riddle University-0.960.1%1st Place
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6.41Rollins College-1.920.0%1st Place
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2.81Jacksonville University0.530.2%1st Place
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4.75University of Florida-0.820.1%1st Place
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8.2Embry-Riddle University-3.440.0%1st Place
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7.31University of Central Florida-2.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Smith | 42.9% | 29.2% | 17.2% | 7.2% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Justin | 17.9% | 25.3% | 26.0% | 16.1% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Knowles | 22.3% | 24.1% | 23.4% | 16.1% | 9.6% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tanner Cummings | 5.0% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 16.1% | 21.5% | 20.5% | 13.7% | 5.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harriss Thorne | 2.6% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 12.2% | 15.6% | 20.5% | 20.7% | 13.9% | 3.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tanner Cummings | 5.0% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 16.1% | 21.5% | 20.5% | 13.7% | 5.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nora VanDerMeid | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 7.3% | 11.2% | 15.7% | 28.4% | 21.9% | 7.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Knowles | 22.3% | 24.1% | 23.4% | 16.1% | 9.6% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julien Waite | 5.5% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 20.4% | 21.7% | 21.6% | 10.1% | 4.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Babey | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 18.0% | 63.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Mrazek | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 17.2% | 36.9% | 23.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.