Race 5B

erau-greg-popp

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Morgan Smith 43.8% 28.0% 16.9% 7.5% 3.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Joshua Knowles 17.4% 25.7% 25.3% 15.9% 10.1% 4.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Luke Justin 23.0% 22.7% 23.2% 18.5% 9.5% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Joshua Knowles 17.4% 25.7% 25.3% 15.9% 10.1% 4.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Harriss Thorne 2.8% 4.5% 4.9% 11.2% 17.5% 22.0% 22.2% 12.2% 2.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Julien Waite 5.4% 9.2% 12.7% 18.4% 19.4% 19.1% 9.6% 5.7% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Tanner Cummings 4.2% 6.4% 9.4% 17.7% 21.2% 21.1% 13.2% 6.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Tanner Cummings 4.2% 6.4% 9.4% 17.7% 21.2% 21.1% 13.2% 6.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Nora VanDerMeid 1.9% 2.0% 3.7% 6.5% 10.5% 17.7% 27.5% 21.6% 8.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Joseph Mrazek 1.0% 1.1% 2.5% 2.9% 5.9% 8.9% 18.1% 34.6% 25.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brandon Babey 0.5% 0.4% 1.4% 1.4% 2.9% 3.8% 7.6% 19.3% 62.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.