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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College1.25+1.01vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida0.55+0.92vs Predicted
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3University of Florida-0.82+1.78vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.53-1.25vs Predicted
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5Rollins College-1.49+0.66vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University0.53-3.25vs Predicted
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7Embry-Riddle University-0.96-2.08vs Predicted
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8Embry-Riddle University-0.96-3.08vs Predicted
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9Rollins College-1.92-2.57vs Predicted
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10University of Central Florida-2.64-2.68vs Predicted
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11Embry-Riddle University-3.44-2.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.01Eckerd College1.250.4%1st Place
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2.92University of South Florida0.550.2%1st Place
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4.78University of Florida-0.820.1%1st Place
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2.75Jacksonville University0.530.2%1st Place
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5.66Rollins College-1.490.0%1st Place
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2.75Jacksonville University0.530.2%1st Place
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4.92Embry-Riddle University-0.960.0%1st Place
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4.92Embry-Riddle University-0.960.0%1st Place
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6.43Rollins College-1.920.0%1st Place
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7.32University of Central Florida-2.640.0%1st Place
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8.2Embry-Riddle University-3.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Smith | 43.8% | 27.9% | 16.6% | 7.8% | 3.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Justin | 18.0% | 25.9% | 24.0% | 17.0% | 10.2% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julien Waite | 5.2% | 7.1% | 11.6% | 17.5% | 20.8% | 20.0% | 13.1% | 4.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Knowles | 22.8% | 24.3% | 23.8% | 17.5% | 7.9% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harriss Thorne | 2.6% | 3.9% | 7.1% | 13.0% | 17.0% | 19.5% | 19.0% | 13.9% | 4.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Knowles | 22.8% | 24.3% | 23.8% | 17.5% | 7.9% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tanner Cummings | 4.6% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 15.7% | 22.5% | 22.6% | 13.3% | 4.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tanner Cummings | 4.6% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 15.7% | 22.5% | 22.6% | 13.3% | 4.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nora VanDerMeid | 1.6% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 18.2% | 26.2% | 22.8% | 8.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Mrazek | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 18.3% | 35.0% | 24.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Babey | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 8.3% | 19.1% | 62.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.