← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73+6.14vs Predicted
-
2University of Rhode Island1.75+5.15vs Predicted
-
3Boston College2.26+2.52vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University1.51+4.20vs Predicted
-
5Harvard University2.56-0.43vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11+3.77vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University1.63+0.67vs Predicted
-
8Roger Williams University1.38+0.44vs Predicted
-
9Bowdoin College2.09-2.80vs Predicted
-
10Williams College-0.60+4.71vs Predicted
-
11Northeastern University1.68-3.36vs Predicted
-
12University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.39+2.19vs Predicted
-
13Salve Regina University-0.20+0.77vs Predicted
-
14University of Vermont1.08-4.16vs Predicted
-
15Dartmouth College0.60-3.68vs Predicted
-
16Brown University1.64-8.28vs Predicted
-
17Boston University1.25-7.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.1%1st Place
-
7.15University of Rhode Island1.750.1%1st Place
-
5.52Boston College2.260.1%1st Place
-
8.2Tufts University1.510.1%1st Place
-
4.57Harvard University2.560.2%1st Place
-
9.77Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.0%1st Place
-
7.67Roger Williams University1.630.1%1st Place
-
8.44Roger Williams University1.380.1%1st Place
-
6.2Bowdoin College2.090.1%1st Place
-
14.71Williams College-0.600.0%1st Place
-
7.64Northeastern University1.680.1%1st Place
-
14.19University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.390.0%1st Place
-
13.77Salve Regina University-0.200.0%1st Place
-
9.84University of Vermont1.080.0%1st Place
-
11.32Dartmouth College0.600.0%1st Place
-
7.72Brown University1.640.1%1st Place
-
9.15Boston University1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Heitkoetter | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Max Sigel | 7.4% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 12.5% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 18.4% | 14.6% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Egeli | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| William Bailey | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Luke Hosek | 6.3% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 8.5% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 12.9% | 22.5% | 36.2% |
| Sam Monaghan | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Marshall Rodes | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 14.2% | 22.0% | 29.7% |
| Sean Morrison | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 14.5% | 22.7% | 23.6% |
| Ryan Potter | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 4.4% | 1.2% |
| Ava Hurwitz | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 10.6% | 4.9% |
| Grant Adam | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.