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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.26+4.42vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.64+5.57vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.75+4.29vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.38+4.64vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73+2.21vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.51+2.32vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.63+0.73vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.09-2.04vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.56-4.27vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.08-0.36vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.25-1.78vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11-2.47vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.39+1.22vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.68-6.35vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College0.60-3.67vs Predicted
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16Williams College-0.60-1.26vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University-0.20-3.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.42Boston College2.260.1%1st Place
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7.57Brown University1.640.1%1st Place
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7.29University of Rhode Island1.750.1%1st Place
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8.64Roger Williams University1.380.1%1st Place
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7.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.1%1st Place
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8.32Tufts University1.510.1%1st Place
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7.73Roger Williams University1.630.1%1st Place
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5.96Bowdoin College2.090.1%1st Place
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4.73Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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9.64University of Vermont1.080.0%1st Place
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9.22Boston University1.250.0%1st Place
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9.53Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.0%1st Place
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14.22University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.390.0%1st Place
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7.65Northeastern University1.680.1%1st Place
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11.33Dartmouth College0.600.0%1st Place
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14.74Williams College-0.600.0%1st Place
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13.78Salve Regina University-0.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 14.5% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Adam | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Max Sigel | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Luke Hosek | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| William Bailey | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 11.5% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 14.1% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Potter | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| Tyler Egeli | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Marshall Rodes | 0.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 24.9% | 29.8% |
| Sam Monaghan | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Ava Hurwitz | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 13.5% | 11.3% | 5.1% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 11.6% | 23.4% | 36.4% |
| Sean Morrison | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 15.0% | 20.3% | 23.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.