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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.30+2.88vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.20+6.03vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.81+7.04vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.38+3.72vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.09+3.37vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.99+3.50vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.97+2.17vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.10+2.89vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.60+1.71vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.22+2.64vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.55-4.58vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-3.20vs Predicted
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13George Washington University0.93+0.22vs Predicted
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14Tufts University0.54-0.51vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.10-4.90vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College1.51-4.57vs Predicted
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17Tulane University2.02-8.81vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania1.77-9.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.88Stanford University3.3022.8%1st Place
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8.03Georgetown University2.207.4%1st Place
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10.04College of Charleston1.813.0%1st Place
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7.72Cornell University2.386.7%1st Place
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8.37Boston College2.096.4%1st Place
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9.5Brown University1.994.0%1st Place
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9.17Roger Williams University1.973.9%1st Place
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10.89Harvard University2.103.6%1st Place
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10.71University of South Florida1.603.5%1st Place
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12.64Northeastern University1.221.6%1st Place
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6.42Yale University2.559.4%1st Place
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8.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.775.8%1st Place
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13.22George Washington University0.932.1%1st Place
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13.49Tufts University0.541.7%1st Place
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10.1Dartmouth College2.104.2%1st Place
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11.43Bowdoin College1.512.2%1st Place
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8.19Tulane University2.025.9%1st Place
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8.39University of Pennsylvania1.775.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 22.8% | 17.0% | 15.3% | 12.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Emma Tallman | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.5% |
| Bridget Green | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| Katharine Doble | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.3% |
| Lucy Meagher | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Cordelia Burn | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 13.8% | 15.3% |
| Emma Cowles | 9.4% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 13.9% | 20.6% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 15.2% | 22.7% |
| Sarah Young | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% |
| Kyra Phelan | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 9.1% |
| Samantha Gardner | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Sofia Segalla | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.