Race 3A

south-series-two

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Nikolas Osvalds 21.5% 17.7% 14.3% 14.8% 11.9% 8.4% 6.1% 4.7% 0.6%
Eric Decesar 10.9% 14.0% 15.2% 14.0% 11.7% 12.1% 10.7% 7.5% 3.9%
William Cotta 8.3% 9.2% 9.5% 10.9% 12.1% 13.0% 14.2% 12.9% 9.9%
Quentin Chafee 14.9% 15.6% 15.2% 14.4% 12.5% 10.7% 7.3% 6.8% 2.6%
Michael Hession 15.2% 15.3% 14.4% 11.4% 11.1% 9.9% 10.1% 7.2% 5.4%
Michael Reney 6.0% 6.3% 7.6% 6.7% 9.2% 11.0% 15.5% 18.6% 19.1%
Peter Hughes 10.0% 9.2% 11.5% 11.7% 13.0% 14.2% 13.0% 10.0% 7.4%
Viktor Bolmgren 9.3% 8.0% 8.5% 11.7% 11.4% 12.5% 11.9% 14.4% 12.3%
Dylan Griffin 3.9% 4.7% 3.8% 4.4% 7.1% 8.2% 11.2% 17.9% 38.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.