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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.89+4.28vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida4.17+5.78vs Predicted
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3University of Miami3.99+5.41vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.45+2.46vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.19+2.50vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland4.83-0.69vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.62+2.53vs Predicted
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8Washington College3.65+1.41vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College4.15-1.43vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin4.10-1.96vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara3.26-0.02vs Predicted
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12University of Oregon2.51+1.55vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College3.70-3.86vs Predicted
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14University of Southern California3.16-3.08vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University4.78-9.63vs Predicted
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16Northwestern University2.37-2.18vs Predicted
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17University of Texas1.82-1.91vs Predicted
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18Marquette University0.69-1.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.28Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
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7.78University of South Florida4.170.0%1st Place
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8.41University of Miami3.990.1%1st Place
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6.46Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.450.1%1st Place
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7.5Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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5.31St. Mary's College of Maryland4.830.1%1st Place
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9.53University of Rhode Island3.620.0%1st Place
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9.41Washington College3.650.0%1st Place
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7.57SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
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8.04University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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10.98University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.0%1st Place
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13.55University of Oregon2.510.0%1st Place
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9.14Eckerd College3.700.1%1st Place
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10.92University of Southern California3.160.0%1st Place
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5.37Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
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13.82Northwestern University2.370.0%1st Place
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15.09University of Texas1.820.0%1st Place
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16.83Marquette University0.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Sinks | 12.3% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Marks | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Voss | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| David Thompson | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Morris | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Michael Menninger | 12.8% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Carmody | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Whitford | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Shawn Murray | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 0.9% |
| Philip Gordon | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 19.7% | 17.4% | 5.8% |
| Hidde Van Der Molen | 5.3% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Stephen Lue | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 1.0% |
| Cy Thompson | 12.9% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Cornew | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 13.7% | 20.2% | 17.9% | 8.3% |
| Caitlynn Taylor | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 17.0% | 31.1% | 18.4% |
| Patrick Farrell | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 16.1% | 64.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.