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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73+6.21vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.26+3.49vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.56+1.66vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.51+4.18vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.64+2.63vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.25+3.31vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.09-0.86vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.75-0.83vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11+0.81vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.68-2.55vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.38-2.23vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.63-4.31vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.27-3.78vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College0.60-2.41vs Predicted
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15University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.39-0.88vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University-0.20-2.16vs Predicted
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17Williams College-0.60-2.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.1%1st Place
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5.49Boston College2.260.1%1st Place
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4.66Harvard University2.560.2%1st Place
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8.18Tufts University1.510.1%1st Place
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7.63Brown University1.640.1%1st Place
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9.31Boston University1.250.0%1st Place
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6.14Bowdoin College2.090.1%1st Place
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7.17University of Rhode Island1.750.1%1st Place
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9.81Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.0%1st Place
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7.45Northeastern University1.680.1%1st Place
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8.77Roger Williams University1.380.1%1st Place
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7.69Roger Williams University1.630.1%1st Place
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9.22University of Vermont1.270.1%1st Place
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11.59Dartmouth College0.600.0%1st Place
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14.12University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.390.0%1st Place
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13.84Salve Regina University-0.200.0%1st Place
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14.75Williams College-0.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Heitkoetter | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 12.4% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 15.6% | 15.0% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 5.5% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Grant Adam | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Sigel | 8.6% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Egeli | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Sam Monaghan | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Luke Hosek | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| William Bailey | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Christian Cushman | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Ava Hurwitz | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 5.1% |
| Marshall Rodes | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 13.3% | 23.2% | 28.8% |
| Sean Morrison | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 16.9% | 22.2% | 21.4% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 12.4% | 21.8% | 38.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.