← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73+6.23vs Predicted
-
2Boston College2.26+3.45vs Predicted
-
3University of Vermont1.27+6.04vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University2.56+0.74vs Predicted
-
5Bowdoin College2.09+1.00vs Predicted
-
6University of Rhode Island1.75+1.47vs Predicted
-
7Boston University1.25+2.14vs Predicted
-
8Northeastern University1.68-0.61vs Predicted
-
9Brown University1.64-1.09vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University1.51-1.90vs Predicted
-
11Roger Williams University1.63-3.13vs Predicted
-
12Roger Williams University1.38-3.38vs Predicted
-
13Dartmouth College0.60-1.43vs Predicted
-
14University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.39+0.29vs Predicted
-
15Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11-5.40vs Predicted
-
16Salve Regina University-0.20-2.16vs Predicted
-
17Williams College-0.60-2.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.1%1st Place
-
5.45Boston College2.260.1%1st Place
-
9.04University of Vermont1.270.0%1st Place
-
4.74Harvard University2.560.2%1st Place
-
6.0Bowdoin College2.090.1%1st Place
-
7.47University of Rhode Island1.750.1%1st Place
-
9.14Boston University1.250.0%1st Place
-
7.39Northeastern University1.680.1%1st Place
-
7.91Brown University1.640.0%1st Place
-
8.1Tufts University1.510.0%1st Place
-
7.87Roger Williams University1.630.1%1st Place
-
8.62Roger Williams University1.380.0%1st Place
-
11.57Dartmouth College0.600.0%1st Place
-
14.29University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.390.0%1st Place
-
9.6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.0%1st Place
-
13.84Salve Regina University-0.200.0%1st Place
-
14.75Williams College-0.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Heitkoetter | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 11.6% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christian Cushman | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 16.7% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 11.3% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Max Sigel | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 0.4% |
| Sam Monaghan | 8.3% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Adam | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 4.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| William Bailey | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Luke Hosek | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Ava Hurwitz | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 10.9% | 6.3% |
| Marshall Rodes | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 13.1% | 24.4% | 29.5% |
| Tyler Egeli | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 4.3% | 1.3% |
| Sean Morrison | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 17.2% | 21.9% | 22.0% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 12.2% | 22.9% | 37.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.