← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73+6.18vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University2.56+2.55vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University1.51+5.15vs Predicted
-
4University of Vermont1.27+5.11vs Predicted
-
5Northeastern University1.68+2.40vs Predicted
-
6Bowdoin College2.09+0.32vs Predicted
-
7Dartmouth College0.60+4.39vs Predicted
-
8Roger Williams University1.63-0.45vs Predicted
-
9University of Rhode Island1.75-1.52vs Predicted
-
10Boston College2.26-4.48vs Predicted
-
11Brown University1.64-3.14vs Predicted
-
12University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.39+2.21vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11-3.18vs Predicted
-
14Boston University1.25-4.70vs Predicted
-
15Roger Williams University1.38-6.40vs Predicted
-
16Salve Regina University-0.20-2.20vs Predicted
-
17Williams College-0.60-2.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.1%1st Place
-
4.55Harvard University2.560.2%1st Place
-
8.15Tufts University1.510.1%1st Place
-
9.11University of Vermont1.270.0%1st Place
-
7.4Northeastern University1.680.1%1st Place
-
6.32Bowdoin College2.090.1%1st Place
-
11.39Dartmouth College0.600.0%1st Place
-
7.55Roger Williams University1.630.1%1st Place
-
7.48University of Rhode Island1.750.1%1st Place
-
5.52Boston College2.260.1%1st Place
-
7.86Brown University1.640.1%1st Place
-
14.21University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.390.0%1st Place
-
9.82Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.0%1st Place
-
9.3Boston University1.250.0%1st Place
-
8.6Roger Williams University1.380.1%1st Place
-
13.8Salve Regina University-0.200.0%1st Place
-
14.76Williams College-0.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Heitkoetter | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 16.1% | 16.1% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Christian Cushman | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Sam Monaghan | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ava Hurwitz | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 4.2% |
| William Bailey | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Max Sigel | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 12.5% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Grant Adam | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Marshall Rodes | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 12.6% | 22.0% | 30.6% |
| Tyler Egeli | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 1.9% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Luke Hosek | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Sean Morrison | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 18.3% | 21.4% | 21.2% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 7.1% | 11.2% | 21.8% | 39.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.