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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.03+5.28vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.09+4.11vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.75+4.43vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73+3.51vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.56-0.40vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11+3.92vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.26-1.34vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.38+0.60vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.63-0.98vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.27-0.97vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.64-3.05vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College0.60-0.56vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.39+1.21vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.51-5.64vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.25-5.81vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University-0.20-2.12vs Predicted
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17Williams College-0.60-2.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.28Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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6.11Bowdoin College2.090.1%1st Place
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7.43University of Rhode Island1.750.1%1st Place
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7.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.1%1st Place
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4.6Harvard University2.560.2%1st Place
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9.92Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.0%1st Place
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5.66Boston College2.260.1%1st Place
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8.6Roger Williams University1.380.1%1st Place
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8.02Roger Williams University1.630.1%1st Place
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9.03University of Vermont1.270.0%1st Place
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7.95Brown University1.640.1%1st Place
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11.44Dartmouth College0.600.0%1st Place
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14.21University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.390.0%1st Place
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8.36Tufts University1.510.0%1st Place
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9.19Boston University1.250.0%1st Place
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13.88Salve Regina University-0.200.0%1st Place
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14.79Williams College-0.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Ermlich | 10.2% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 9.9% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Max Sigel | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 7.8% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 16.9% | 15.8% | 14.3% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Egeli | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 1.2% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 10.8% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Luke Hosek | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| William Bailey | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Christian Cushman | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Grant Adam | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% |
| Ava Hurwitz | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 5.9% |
| Marshall Rodes | 0.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 16.0% | 24.0% | 28.6% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Sean Morrison | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 11.2% | 15.1% | 23.6% | 21.0% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 12.6% | 19.7% | 39.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.