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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.64+6.58vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.75+5.32vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.26+2.66vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73+3.55vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.63+2.65vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.39+8.45vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University-0.20+6.72vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.56-3.32vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.09-2.61vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.51-1.89vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.25-1.67vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.03-5.54vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College0.60-1.44vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.38-5.14vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11-5.32vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.27-6.79vs Predicted
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17Williams College-0.60-2.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.58Brown University1.640.1%1st Place
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7.32University of Rhode Island1.750.1%1st Place
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5.66Boston College2.260.1%1st Place
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7.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.1%1st Place
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7.65Roger Williams University1.630.1%1st Place
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14.45University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.390.0%1st Place
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13.72Salve Regina University-0.200.0%1st Place
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4.68Harvard University2.560.2%1st Place
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6.39Bowdoin College2.090.1%1st Place
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8.11Tufts University1.510.1%1st Place
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9.33Boston University1.250.0%1st Place
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6.46Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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11.56Dartmouth College0.600.0%1st Place
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8.86Roger Williams University1.380.0%1st Place
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9.68Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.0%1st Place
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9.21University of Vermont1.270.0%1st Place
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14.79Williams College-0.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Adam | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Max Sigel | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 11.1% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| William Bailey | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Marshall Rodes | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 15.4% | 22.5% | 31.1% |
| Sean Morrison | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 11.0% | 16.5% | 23.2% | 20.4% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 18.6% | 14.9% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 0.5% |
| Eva Ermlich | 9.3% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Ava Hurwitz | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 15.0% | 11.3% | 5.0% |
| Luke Hosek | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Egeli | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 0.9% |
| Christian Cushman | 4.1% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 0.6% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 21.7% | 40.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.