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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73+6.30vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.63+5.77vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.26+2.63vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.56+0.77vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11+4.54vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.75+1.57vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College0.60+4.51vs Predicted
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8Williams College-0.60+6.49vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.27+0.38vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.25-0.89vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.09-4.65vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.64-4.19vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.39+1.29vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University-0.20-0.08vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.51-6.73vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.03-9.55vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University1.38-8.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.1%1st Place
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7.77Roger Williams University1.630.1%1st Place
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5.63Boston College2.260.1%1st Place
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4.77Harvard University2.560.2%1st Place
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9.54Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.0%1st Place
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7.57University of Rhode Island1.750.1%1st Place
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11.51Dartmouth College0.600.0%1st Place
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14.49Williams College-0.600.0%1st Place
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9.38University of Vermont1.270.0%1st Place
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9.11Boston University1.250.0%1st Place
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6.35Bowdoin College2.090.1%1st Place
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7.81Brown University1.640.1%1st Place
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14.29University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.390.0%1st Place
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13.92Salve Regina University-0.200.0%1st Place
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8.27Tufts University1.510.1%1st Place
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6.45Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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8.84Roger Williams University1.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Heitkoetter | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| William Bailey | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 11.6% | 12.9% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 16.8% | 14.2% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Egeli | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 1.9% |
| Max Sigel | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ava Hurwitz | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 15.8% | 13.5% | 10.5% | 4.3% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 22.7% | 35.8% |
| Christian Cushman | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 11.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Grant Adam | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Marshall Rodes | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 16.1% | 23.2% | 30.5% |
| Sean Morrison | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 15.1% | 23.6% | 24.0% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Eva Ermlich | 7.9% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 11.4% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Luke Hosek | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.