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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.59+8.01vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.14+2.06vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99+4.78vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University0.68+4.96vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.70+0.28vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College0.53+3.60vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.32-0.33vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University-0.82+5.48vs Predicted
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9Boston University0.72-0.09vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University0.88-1.95vs Predicted
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11Harvard University0.10+0.08vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.56-6.16vs Predicted
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13Williams College-0.60+0.20vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.27-7.08vs Predicted
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15Brown University0.64-5.99vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College0.45-6.19vs Predicted
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17University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.55-1.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.01Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.590.1%1st Place
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4.06Boston College2.140.2%1st Place
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7.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.1%1st Place
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8.96Roger Williams University0.680.0%1st Place
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5.28University of Rhode Island1.700.1%1st Place
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9.6Dartmouth College0.530.0%1st Place
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6.67University of Vermont1.320.1%1st Place
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13.48Salve Regina University-0.820.0%1st Place
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8.91Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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8.05Northeastern University0.880.0%1st Place
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11.08Harvard University0.100.0%1st Place
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5.84Roger Williams University1.560.1%1st Place
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13.2Williams College-0.600.0%1st Place
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6.92Tufts University1.270.1%1st Place
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9.01Brown University0.640.0%1st Place
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9.81Bowdoin College0.450.0%1st Place
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15.35University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Brooksbank | 5.1% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Ryan McGauley | 19.3% | 16.5% | 15.2% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma Wang | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Yasar Akin | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Zachary Severson | 12.9% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Hanrahan | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 9.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 14.6% | 23.7% | 20.8% |
| William Wiegand | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Aidan Boni | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 10.3% | 4.8% |
| Ethan Burt | 10.1% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 15.2% | 22.7% | 15.0% |
| Marina Garrido | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Keller Morrison | 4.2% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Shea McGrath | 3.1% | 2.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 4.6% | 1.7% |
| Angelina Papa | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 9.3% | 17.8% | 52.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.