← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University1.27+5.59vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99+5.67vs Predicted
-
3Roger Williams University0.68+5.92vs Predicted
-
4Boston College2.14+0.15vs Predicted
-
5Brown University0.64+3.85vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.59+3.40vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University1.56-1.24vs Predicted
-
8University of Rhode Island1.70-2.71vs Predicted
-
9Dartmouth College0.53+0.63vs Predicted
-
10Harvard University0.10+0.91vs Predicted
-
11Bowdoin College0.45-1.09vs Predicted
-
12Williams College-0.60+1.16vs Predicted
-
13Northeastern University0.88-4.71vs Predicted
-
14University of Vermont1.32-7.30vs Predicted
-
15Salve Regina University-0.82-1.29vs Predicted
-
16Boston University0.72-7.26vs Predicted
-
17University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.55-1.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.59Tufts University1.270.1%1st Place
-
7.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.1%1st Place
-
8.92Roger Williams University0.680.1%1st Place
-
4.15Boston College2.140.2%1st Place
-
8.85Brown University0.640.0%1st Place
-
9.4Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.590.0%1st Place
-
5.76Roger Williams University1.560.1%1st Place
-
5.29University of Rhode Island1.700.1%1st Place
-
9.63Dartmouth College0.530.0%1st Place
-
10.91Harvard University0.100.0%1st Place
-
9.91Bowdoin College0.450.0%1st Place
-
13.16Williams College-0.600.0%1st Place
-
8.29Northeastern University0.880.1%1st Place
-
6.7University of Vermont1.320.1%1st Place
-
13.71Salve Regina University-0.820.0%1st Place
-
8.74Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
-
15.32University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marina Garrido | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma Wang | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Yasar Akin | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Ryan McGauley | 18.9% | 16.3% | 13.4% | 14.4% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keller Morrison | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 0.8% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Ethan Burt | 10.4% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Severson | 12.7% | 13.3% | 13.9% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Hanrahan | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 3.5% |
| Shea McGrath | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 5.0% | 1.7% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 10.6% | 14.1% | 22.7% | 15.1% |
| Aidan Boni | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 0.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 13.2% | 26.3% | 20.8% |
| William Wiegand | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Angelina Papa | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 9.0% | 17.2% | 53.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.