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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.56+4.63vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.32+4.51vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99+4.75vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.14+0.18vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College0.45+4.58vs Predicted
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6Brown University0.64+3.28vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.27-0.23vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.72+0.56vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.59+0.43vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.70-4.72vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University0.88-2.69vs Predicted
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12Harvard University0.10-1.05vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University0.68-3.98vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College0.53-4.42vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University-0.82-1.33vs Predicted
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16University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.55-0.68vs Predicted
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17Williams College-0.60-3.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.63Roger Williams University1.560.1%1st Place
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6.51University of Vermont1.320.1%1st Place
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7.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.1%1st Place
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4.18Boston College2.140.2%1st Place
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9.58Bowdoin College0.450.0%1st Place
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9.28Brown University0.640.0%1st Place
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6.77Tufts University1.270.1%1st Place
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8.56Boston University0.720.1%1st Place
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9.43Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.590.0%1st Place
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5.28University of Rhode Island1.700.1%1st Place
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8.31Northeastern University0.880.1%1st Place
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10.95Harvard University0.100.0%1st Place
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9.02Roger Williams University0.680.0%1st Place
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9.58Dartmouth College0.530.0%1st Place
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13.67Salve Regina University-0.820.0%1st Place
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15.32University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.550.0%1st Place
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13.15Williams College-0.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Burt | 12.9% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emma Wang | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Ryan McGauley | 19.3% | 15.0% | 14.2% | 13.9% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shea McGrath | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 1.6% |
| Keller Morrison | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Marina Garrido | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| William Wiegand | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Zachary Severson | 11.8% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Boni | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 8.8% | 3.4% |
| Yasar Akin | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 0.6% |
| Michael Hanrahan | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 0.7% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 0.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 13.7% | 23.9% | 21.8% |
| Angelina Papa | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 18.7% | 52.3% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 16.0% | 21.5% | 15.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.