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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida3.49+8.90vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College4.15+5.53vs Predicted
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3University of Miami3.99+5.17vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara3.26+6.45vs Predicted
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5Boston College4.89-0.13vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College3.70+3.08vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University4.78-1.78vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.62+1.16vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland4.83-3.94vs Predicted
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10Yale University4.19-2.62vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California2.57+1.96vs Predicted
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12Washington College3.65-2.52vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin4.10-5.53vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.45-7.88vs Predicted
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15University of Texas2.50-1.85vs Predicted
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16University of Oregon1.97-1.36vs Predicted
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17Northwestern University2.37-3.42vs Predicted
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18Marquette University0.69-1.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.9University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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7.53SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
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8.17University of Miami3.990.0%1st Place
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10.45University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.0%1st Place
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4.87Boston College4.890.2%1st Place
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9.08Eckerd College3.700.0%1st Place
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5.22Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
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9.16University of Rhode Island3.620.0%1st Place
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5.06St. Mary's College of Maryland4.830.1%1st Place
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7.38Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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12.96University of Southern California2.570.0%1st Place
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9.48Washington College3.650.0%1st Place
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7.47University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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6.12Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.450.1%1st Place
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13.15University of Texas2.500.0%1st Place
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14.64University of Oregon1.970.0%1st Place
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13.58Northwestern University2.370.0%1st Place
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16.79Marquette University0.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Stocke | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Shawn Murray | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Voss | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Tyler Sinks | 16.2% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hidde Van Der Molen | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Cy Thompson | 12.8% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Carmody | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Michael Menninger | 13.7% | 13.4% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Morris | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Kelsey Rupp | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 16.6% | 14.0% | 5.1% |
| Michael Whitford | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| David Thompson | 9.2% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Scott Proctor | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 16.7% | 14.7% | 4.8% |
| Andrew Balter | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 16.6% | 27.0% | 14.4% |
| Michael Cornew | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 16.3% | 18.8% | 7.4% |
| Patrick Farrell | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 6.2% | 14.8% | 66.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.