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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.14+3.06vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.32+4.57vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.56+2.82vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College0.45+5.65vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99+2.62vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.70-0.52vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University0.88+1.23vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University0.68+0.71vs Predicted
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9Harvard University0.10+2.11vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College0.53-0.64vs Predicted
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11Brown University0.64-1.89vs Predicted
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12Boston University0.72-3.30vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.59-3.66vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University-0.82-0.13vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.27-8.18vs Predicted
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16Williams College-0.60-2.79vs Predicted
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17University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.55-1.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.06Boston College2.140.2%1st Place
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6.57University of Vermont1.320.1%1st Place
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5.82Roger Williams University1.560.1%1st Place
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9.65Bowdoin College0.450.0%1st Place
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7.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.1%1st Place
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5.48University of Rhode Island1.700.1%1st Place
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8.23Northeastern University0.880.1%1st Place
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8.71Roger Williams University0.680.1%1st Place
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11.11Harvard University0.100.0%1st Place
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9.36Dartmouth College0.530.0%1st Place
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9.11Brown University0.640.1%1st Place
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8.7Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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9.34Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.590.0%1st Place
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13.87Salve Regina University-0.820.0%1st Place
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6.82Tufts University1.270.1%1st Place
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13.21Williams College-0.600.0%1st Place
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15.36University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan McGauley | 20.4% | 15.5% | 14.3% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Burt | 10.1% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Shea McGrath | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 0.7% |
| Emma Wang | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Zachary Severson | 11.6% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Boni | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Yasar Akin | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 9.4% | 4.0% |
| Michael Hanrahan | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Keller Morrison | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| William Wiegand | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 13.7% | 26.0% | 22.1% |
| Marina Garrido | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 18.0% | 19.6% | 14.6% |
| Angelina Papa | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 19.2% | 52.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.