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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.14+3.14vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99+5.78vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College0.45+6.82vs Predicted
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4Harvard University0.10+6.98vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.32+1.65vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.59+3.53vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College0.53+2.54vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.52-2.06vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.27-1.90vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.70-4.58vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University0.68-1.82vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.56-6.03vs Predicted
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13Boston University0.72-4.07vs Predicted
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14Brown University0.64-4.74vs Predicted
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15University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.02+0.82vs Predicted
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16Williams College-0.60-2.81vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University-0.82-3.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.14Boston College2.140.2%1st Place
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7.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.1%1st Place
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9.82Bowdoin College0.450.0%1st Place
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10.98Harvard University0.100.0%1st Place
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6.65University of Vermont1.320.1%1st Place
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9.53Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.590.0%1st Place
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9.54Dartmouth College0.530.0%1st Place
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5.94Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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7.1Tufts University1.270.1%1st Place
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5.42University of Rhode Island1.700.1%1st Place
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9.18Roger Williams University0.680.0%1st Place
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5.97Roger Williams University1.560.1%1st Place
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8.93Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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9.26Brown University0.640.0%1st Place
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15.82University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.020.0%1st Place
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13.19Williams College-0.600.0%1st Place
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13.75Salve Regina University-0.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan McGauley | 21.4% | 15.7% | 11.0% | 13.5% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Wang | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Shea McGrath | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 4.5% | 1.3% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 2.5% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
| Michael Hanrahan | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 10.8% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marina Garrido | 5.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Zachary Severson | 10.7% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Yasar Akin | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Ethan Burt | 9.0% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Wiegand | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Keller Morrison | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Iain Gillespie | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 7.2% | 14.4% | 65.1% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 17.9% | 23.3% | 10.8% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 9.6% | 15.9% | 27.7% | 16.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.