← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College2.14+3.11vs Predicted
-
2Bowdoin College0.45+7.70vs Predicted
-
3University of Rhode Island1.70+2.53vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University1.56+1.99vs Predicted
-
5Harvard University0.10+5.85vs Predicted
-
6Boston University0.72+3.01vs Predicted
-
7Dartmouth College0.53+2.52vs Predicted
-
8Northeastern University1.52-1.99vs Predicted
-
9Roger Williams University0.68+0.18vs Predicted
-
10University of Vermont1.32-3.40vs Predicted
-
11Brown University0.64-1.74vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99-4.11vs Predicted
-
13Tufts University1.27-5.90vs Predicted
-
14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.59-4.56vs Predicted
-
15Salve Regina University-0.82-1.37vs Predicted
-
16Williams College-0.60-2.75vs Predicted
-
17University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.02-1.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.11Boston College2.140.2%1st Place
-
9.7Bowdoin College0.450.0%1st Place
-
5.53University of Rhode Island1.700.1%1st Place
-
5.99Roger Williams University1.560.1%1st Place
-
10.85Harvard University0.100.0%1st Place
-
9.01Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
-
9.52Dartmouth College0.530.0%1st Place
-
6.01Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
-
9.18Roger Williams University0.680.0%1st Place
-
6.6University of Vermont1.320.1%1st Place
-
9.26Brown University0.640.0%1st Place
-
7.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.1%1st Place
-
7.1Tufts University1.270.1%1st Place
-
9.44Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.590.0%1st Place
-
13.63Salve Regina University-0.820.0%1st Place
-
13.25Williams College-0.600.0%1st Place
-
15.96University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan McGauley | 20.9% | 16.1% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shea McGrath | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Zachary Severson | 12.0% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Burt | 10.4% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 1.3% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 8.5% | 2.7% |
| William Wiegand | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Michael Hanrahan | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Yasar Akin | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 6.9% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Keller Morrison | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Emma Wang | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Marina Garrido | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 0.8% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 14.1% | 30.7% | 14.7% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 9.7% | 19.9% | 22.8% | 10.8% |
| Iain Gillespie | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 14.8% | 66.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.