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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.62+8.50vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.89+3.06vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.19+4.39vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara3.26+6.48vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College4.15+2.35vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland4.83-0.91vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College3.70+1.95vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida3.49+1.69vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.45-2.69vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University4.78-4.58vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin4.10-3.28vs Predicted
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12University of Texas2.50+1.37vs Predicted
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13University of Miami3.99-5.14vs Predicted
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14University of Southern California2.57-1.36vs Predicted
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15Washington College3.65-5.84vs Predicted
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16University of Oregon1.97-1.36vs Predicted
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17Northwestern University2.37-3.42vs Predicted
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18Marquette University0.69-1.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.5University of Rhode Island3.620.0%1st Place
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5.06Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
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7.39Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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10.48University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.0%1st Place
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7.35SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
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5.09St. Mary's College of Maryland4.830.1%1st Place
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8.95Eckerd College3.700.0%1st Place
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9.69University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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6.31Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.450.1%1st Place
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5.42Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
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7.72University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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13.37University of Texas2.500.0%1st Place
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7.86University of Miami3.990.1%1st Place
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12.64University of Southern California2.570.0%1st Place
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9.16Washington College3.650.0%1st Place
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14.64University of Oregon1.970.0%1st Place
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13.58Northwestern University2.370.0%1st Place
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16.8Marquette University0.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Carmody | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Sinks | 11.6% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Morris | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
| Shawn Murray | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Michael Menninger | 13.3% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hidde Van Der Molen | 4.5% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Will Stocke | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| David Thompson | 8.1% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cy Thompson | 13.8% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Scott Proctor | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 16.9% | 16.9% | 6.2% |
| Nicholas Voss | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Kelsey Rupp | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 14.7% | 15.2% | 11.5% | 4.4% |
| Michael Whitford | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Balter | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 14.2% | 28.1% | 14.4% |
| Michael Cornew | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 12.9% | 17.6% | 18.6% | 6.7% |
| Patrick Farrell | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 6.9% | 14.2% | 66.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.