← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
David Manley 63.4% 24.9% 8.0% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kate Hennig 7.8% 20.1% 24.7% 18.5% 13.9% 9.1% 4.5% 1.4% 0.0%
Etienne Black 3.6% 8.5% 9.8% 16.9% 16.4% 19.0% 15.2% 9.2% 1.4%
Timothy Verriere 2.0% 4.8% 7.4% 11.4% 13.8% 16.5% 21.3% 19.4% 3.4%
Ana Savva Garcia 1.6% 3.3% 5.3% 8.1% 9.9% 13.4% 18.2% 29.9% 10.3%
Jason Elliott 4.7% 9.6% 12.7% 15.6% 20.4% 16.6% 13.7% 6.0% 0.7%
George Warfel 14.0% 24.3% 24.0% 17.9% 10.3% 6.6% 2.1% 0.8% 0.0%
Cecillia Siegel 2.6% 4.2% 7.2% 7.7% 12.9% 16.1% 20.8% 22.9% 5.6%
Evann Greene 0.3% 0.3% 0.9% 1.3% 1.5% 2.5% 4.2% 10.4% 78.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.